As part of our Big Bash betting tips we’ll look at how overseas players aren’t that important and why it’s bowlers not batsmen who win you the Big Bash.

Big Bash Betting Tips: Who’s won it in the past?

We’re about to enter the eight season of the Big Bash League.

The previous seven editions provided five different winners, with the Perth Scorchers the only side to have won it more than once. They won it three times: BBL3, BBL4 and BBL6.

The Adelaide Strikers won the last edition (BBL7) while the Sydney Sixers (BBL1), the Brisbane Heat (BBL2) and the Sydney Thunder (BBL5) have each won it once.

That means two sides have been runners-up but never won it, the Melbourne Stars and the Hobart Hurricanes (twice) and there’s just one side to have never even made the final, the Melbourne Renegades.

For good measure, the Perth Scorchers made an additional two finals (the first two editions) before actually winning it, meaning they’re by far the most successful team in the competition’s history.

So what trends can we find from previous editions regarding the make-up of a winning team?

 

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Don’t pay too much attention to the overseas stars

The most simplistic way of looking at a team’s strengths is to judge them by the quality of their overseas players. Big mistake. For starters, they make up just two of the eleven players. Secondly, history suggests that overseas players haven’t been that crucial a part of the winning side.

In BBL6 the Perth Scorchers won the competition fielding Ian Bell and Tim Bresnan – two players who weren’t even in the England T20 side at the time.  When winning BBL3 and BBL4 their overseas players were Michael Carberry (who only ever played one T20 for England), Yasir Arafat (less than 30 matches for Pakistan across all formats) and Alfonso Thomas, who also only ever played one T20 for his country.

The Sydney Sixers won the first edition without fielding any overseas players at all in the final and last year the Adelaide Strikers won the final without Rashid Khan. The Afghan spinner was admittedly their outstanding player over the course of the tournament but it shows you can win big games without your star overseas player.

The one exception to the rule was when the Sydney Thunder won BBL5 with huge contributions from their overseas players- two world-class all-rounders in Jacques Kallis and Andre Russell. But that really was the exception.

 

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No mavericks please

Here’s one of the most valuable Big Bash betting tips you’ll ever hear: what you really want to avoid are teams who have maverick, big ego players who can cause friction in the dressing room and just ruin the morale of the team.

Kevin Pietersen, the biggest maverick of them all, was at the Melbourne Stars for years and time after time they failed. Chris Gayle’s time at the Melbourne Renegades was largely unsuccessful and another difficult character, Dwayne Bravo, gets plenty of wickets but there’s a little bit too much of a circus atmosphere when he’s in the team. Too much dancing, messing about and choreographed celebrations, not enough winning of cricket matches.

Contrast that with someone like Rashid Khan of Adelaide. He may be pound-for-pound the best limited-overs bowler in the world but he’s a modest guy with a huge work ethic who lifts the team. In other words, don’t look at how good a particular overseas player is an individual but rather look at how they’ll fit into the team.

 

How many local players are going to be called up?

It’s worth remembering that the BBL takes place when the Australian national side is in action. So when looking at a franchise’s roster, try to work out who will be missing for large parts of the tournament because they’re on international duty.

For example, the Perth Scorchers have the best squad on paper but at one stage or another they could lose: Nathan Coulter-Nile, Andrew Tye, Ashton Agar, Mitch Marsh and Shaun Marsh. Imagine if they all get called up at once; that’s half the side missing. So following on from that, don’t just look at who may be missing but also who else they have in the squad to come in.

Over at the Melbourne Renegades, they tend to start well every season with Aaron Finch captaining the side and scoring quick runs at the top but then fold when he goes and plays for Australia. That’s likely to be even more the case this season because he now plays for the Test side as well.

 

Bowlers win you the thing

The above heading is both one of the most crucial Big Bash betting tips you’ll ever come across and one of the best-kept secrets of T20 betting.

If you’re still in doubt about who to back, go with the side with the best bowling attack. The secret to Peth’s success wasn’t their batsmen but rather their bowlers.  Brad Hogg, Nathan Coulter-Nile, Jason Behrendorff, Andrew Tye, Joel Paris, Jhye Richardson and more recently, Mitchell Johnson and Ashton Agar, were all part of bowling attacks that constantly put the opposition under pressure.

A strong bowling attack means you’re always in the game. Bowl first and restrict them to a chaseable target or bowl second and whatever you have on the board, you’ll fancy your chances of defending.

It’s a lesson a side like the Brisbane Heat haven’t bothered to learn. The so-called Bash Brothers- Chris Lynn and Brendon McCullum – are joined by the likes of Alex Ross, Joe Burns, Matthew Renshaw and Ben Cutting to form a formidable batting line-up. The problem is they have no quality in their bowling.

If they can restrict sides to par or sub-par totals then yes, fine. They’ll probably chase it. But if they post a mediocre total batting first, they’re always big outsiders to defend it because they simply don’t have the bowlers to take the wickets or keep the runs down.

 

Betfair Sportsbok Big Bash Odds Outright Winner

 

Perth Scorchers 9/2

Brisbane Heat  9/2

Adelaide Striker 6/1

Melbourne Renegade 6/1

Hobart Hurricanes 7/1

Sydney Sixers 8/1

Melbourne Stars 8/1

Sydney Thunder 8/1 

 

Betfair Sportsbook has Big Bash odds pre-match and inplay on all 59 matches  plus odds on the tournament winner, top batsman and top bowler. 

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