One of the most fun and potentially profitable Big Bash betting markets to play is the Big Bash Top runscorer market. Fun because it keeps you interested for the duration of the tournament, potentially profitable because even when it’s the favourites winning it, you should have been able to get at least 8/1 on your man if you’d bet him at the start. If it’s an outsider who came good, that could be 20/1.

But of course, going into it without following a few golden rules isn’t the way to go. These are tried and trusted trends that should help you get on the right path.

Big Bash Top Runscorer: What to look out for

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Openers only, please

 

In a one-off match it could sometimes pay to go with a middle-order batsman if the conditions on the day, price and individual player’s record suggest that’s the way to go.

But over the course of the tournament you’d be crazy to go with anyone other than an opener for Big Bash top runscorer. All four of the top runscorers in Big Bash history are/were openers. That’s Michael Klinger, Aaron Finch, Chris Lynn and Luke Wright.

Similarly, the top runscorer of each edition has tended to be an opener. We had D’Arcy Short (2017-18), Ben Dunk (2016-17), Chris Lynn (2015-16) and Michael Klinger (2014-15) in recent years.

The reasons for going with an opener should be obvious. As openers, they’re the only ones who theoretically could be at the crease for 20 overs so that’s more balls faced and more time to get their runs. As openers, they’re also there for the Powerplay overs, meaning that piercing the in-field on the ground or going over the top will often result in boundaries. With the field spread later on, it’s harder to score at quite the same rate.

But there’s another less-talked about reason for openers scoring more runs than anyone else. Say the team batting first only posts 130 or so. And let’s say it’s Brisbane Heat’s opening pair of Chris Lynn and Brendon McCullum opening the batting in reply. They could easily put on a partnership of say 80 runs in no time before one of them gets out. So that’s just 50 more runs to get. The Heat’s number three may be in the form of his life but once the team gets to that target, that’s it. In other words, anyone other than an opener has even less time to get a decent score than usual when chasing a low target.

 

Go with the Aussies

 

It shouldn’t come as too much of a surprise that with 9/11 of players on any given team being Australian, the Big Bash top batsman winner is likely to be an Aussie. But there are further reasons.

The first is that they’re bound to know their conditions better than overseas players.

The second is that the BBL doesn’t tend to feature the world’s best batsmen due to scheduling conflicts.  If we were to pick the best T20 batsmen of the past five or six years- Virat Kohli, AB de Villiers, Tillakaratne Dilshan and Quinton de Kock – none of them were ever available to play Big Bash because of international commitments. Yes, admittedly some great T20 exponents like Kevin Pietersen, Chris Gayle and Kumar Sangakarra all played in the Bash but that was for a reason: they had all quit international cricket by that time, a sign that they were perhaps a bit past it.

Look at that list again of top runscorers in the Big Bash history and top runscorer for each edition. With the exception of Luke Wright gate-crashing that first list, the rest are all Aussies.

 

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There for the long haul

 

Don’t side with a player who won’t be there for the whole thing. Of course, if you’re betting before the tournament begins, it’s hard to know which teams will make the semis (and final), potentially playing an extra two games. That’s part and parcel of the challenge and there’s nothing you can do about it.

But what you don’t want to do is back a player who can’t potentially play every game. That includes Aussie internationals like Aaron Finch, Shaun Marsh and Usman Khawaja who could be called up to each and very game Australia play across all three formats during the Big Bash.

Finch is the best example of all. Year after year, he’s started the tournament with a bang and is right up there with the most runs, then gets called up. Heartbreak for both the Melbourne Renegades and Finch backers.

Same with England’s Joe Root and Jos Buttler. Buttler, who will most certainly open the batting for the Melbourne Thunder would have had every chance of contending thanks to his obscene strike rate, ability to score in all areas and knack for accelerating once he’s in. Admittedly, they may both play up to seven matches for the Thunder before reporting for England duty but then again, they may not. And they certainly won’t play the two extra matches.

 

Strike rate

 

When comparing the openers in search of a Big Bash top runscorer, a look at a player’s strike rate is arguably more valuable than their average. It shows how quickly they can score, which is crucial. For example, Chris Lynn scoring 80 off 40 balls is more valuable to you as a punter than Michael Klinger scoring 45 off 45 and remaining unbeaten.

 

Betting Maestro recommends Betfair as the place to bet on the Big Bash top runscorer market. 

New customer offer. Place 5 x £/€10 or more bets to receive £/€20 in free bets.
Repeat up to 5 times to receive maximum £/€100 bonus. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Exchange
bets excluded. T&Cs apply.

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