We’re about 2/3 of the way into the CPL Group Stages so that’s more than enough time to reflect on our CPL betting tips and reflect on what we’ve learnt so far.
Top CPL Betting Tips
Balance is key
The Guyana Amazon Warriors are top of the table with a perfect record of six wins from six. They’re now just 5/4 to go on and win it. Not that their success should come as any great surprise to readers of Betting Maestro. After all, they were the strongest of our CPL betting tips when we flagged them up at 6.0 before the tournament started.
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The first key to their success is balance. They tick all the boxes that have made sides like the Perth Scorchers and the Mumbai Indians such successful T20 franchises. Fast-scoring openers, classy middle-order batsmen, overseas all-rounders doing both disciplines and options in terms of both pace and spin.
The latter is particularly important because they also realized that with their home ground being all about spin- where they’ll play half their games- they packed their side with excellent spinners: Chris Green, Imran Tahir, Qais Ahmed and even the veteran Shoaib Malik. Between them they’ve taken 23 wickets and to that you can add the seven wickets in three matches by the man who was there before Tahir arrived- fellow spinner Shadan Khan- since departed to report for international duty.
They should go all the way.
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Gayle force a spent force
The theory went that maybe Chris Gayle couldn’t really run anymore but that on wickets he knows so well, he could just stand there and swing the bat, more than making up for the absence of singles and twos with some huge hits. Especially now that he’s on home soil with the Jamaica Tallawahs.
The problem is Gayle may have just reached the stage where that gameplan just doesn’t work anymore. 214 runs have come from eight innings at an average of 26.75 and if that doesn’t look too bad, then consider this: 116 of those runs came in one game.
The eyes aren’t as good, the reflexes not as fast, maybe even the power has gone. The timing definitely has. He is after all, 40.
How many more chances will he get at T20 franchise level. Or any other level for that matter?
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Local batsmen know the drill
Many punters’ instinct when betting on the likes of the IPL, Big Bash or CPL is to back a star overseas batsman to be the leading runscorer in the tournament. It could be a very flawed strategy.
Take this year’s CPL for example. Of the Top 12 highest runscorers so far this tournament, 10 are local players. Ok, admittedly Kiwi GD Phillips sits top of the list at the moment but that won’t be for long. Jamaica can’t make the play-offs now so he’ll soon be overtaken.
Doesn’t it make more sense to back the players who know the wickets and the ground dimensions like the back of their hands? There are of course a few exceptions. Last year Colin Munro topped scored in the CPL and David Warner is always a solid option in the IPL. But D’Arcy Short has topped the Big Bash charts for both of the last two years and apart from anything else, you’re sure to get far bigger prices on the lesser-known local players than the big-name foreign stars.
Captaincy is key
Sounds obvious but it’s true. Quick decision-making, knowing when to gamble or stay put, good field settings and everything else that makes a good captain is crucial. Is it any coincidence that guys who tick those boxes- like Malik and Kieron Pollard– are skippering the sides who are first and second?
On the downside, are the likes of Carlos Brathwaite and Rovman Powell natural captains? Considering who are the better captains is an important consideration as any when it comes to picking a team to win a T20 tournament and the last of our CPL betting tips for the day.