On paper, Australia would appear to be a good Cricket World Cup bet. But their wins so far have been more a case of papering over the cracks.

That Australia have a foot in the semi-finals is a big turnaround in itself given where they were this time last year. Before beating India away in an ODI series, before thrashing Pakistan in the UAE and before the returns to ODI duty of ‘you know who’.

But if you think taking a best price of 3.75 with Unibet on them going all the way is the way forward, think again. Here’s why.

 

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Cricket World cup Bet: Why you should avoid Australia

 

Warner has scored cheap runs

 

If David Warner keeps on like this, they’ll always get off to a flyer, right? Maybe not. He may be the World Cup top batsman with 447 runs but put that into context.

Only Australia and South Africa have played six times and as an opener, he’s part of a very select group of batsmen to have had the luxury of playing six innings. With England and New Zealand not among those six, he’s so far dodged two of the three best bowling line-ups.

He’s also played twice at Trent Bridge, the highest scoring ODI ground in the world and once at Taunton, another road of a wicket. He’s also had the benefit of batting first in four of those six when the wicket is at its best and when his scoring potential isn’t ‘capped’ because a target has been set.

Let’s see how he fares in a tough chase against better opposition on a trickier wicket, before assuming he’s going to get 100 every time he goes out to bat.

Given he’s got such hard matches coming up, either our pre-tournament selection Rohit Sharma (6.5) and Kane Williamson (7.5) look in prime position to wipe out their runs deficit against Warner and a far better Cricket World Cup bet than Warner. Prices with Unibet.

 

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Two-man bowling attack

 

Mitchell Starc and Pat Cummins have been excellent. No surprises there. They were the two superstars of this bowling attack going into the tournament and they’ve needed to do be exactly that in just about every match.

Cummins has taken 11 wickets and gone for 4.84 runs an over. Starc, the tournament’s leading wicket-taker has 15 and gone at 5.42. They’ve bailed their side out against Pakistan, the West Indies and Sri Lanka but how many more times can they keep on doing that?

Nathan Coulter-Nile, partly in the side for his batting as well, is the only other bowler going for less than 6 an over (5.95) has taken four wickets in five games. Marcus Stoinis, the all-rounder has been expensive going at 6.57 and the other all-rounder, Glenn Maxwell, is yet to take a wicket from 33 overs. Worst of all has been Adam Zampa. Five wickets from six matches but at a shocking economy rate of 7.15.

It begs the question as to why Kane Richardson hasn’t played more or why Nathan Lyon hasn’t come in for Zampa. They’re not going to win a World Cup with just two in-form bowlers.

 

Running between the wickets a concern

 

It probably won’t make much of a difference on a belter of a wicket but from what we’ve seen at the likes of Edgbaston or Headingley, where hard-running between the wickets is a must, it might.

Surprisingly for a side generally good in that department, the running (and calling) between the wickets hasn’t been great. That Alex Carey and Pat Cummins were run out in search of quick lower-order runs against Sri Lanka is one thing and as it happens, it was down to two moments of brilliance by Isuru Udana.

But Aaron Finch’s run out against India and Glenn Maxwell’s against Bangladesh were less excusable. Sooner or later it’s going to cost them the match.

 

Cricket World Cup Bet: Who have they beat?

 

The simple answer is: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, the West Indies, Pakistan, Sri Lanka. The cheekier answer is: not much.

And they could have well have lost the last three. Each of them were favourites at one stage or another in the match. When they played a really good side- India- they were comprehensively beaten.

Remaining are matches against England, New Zealand and South Africa. The smart money is on them winning one of those, at most two. Enough to make the semis, yes, after getting those early wins.

But certainly not enough to convince us they can win the tournament. England have no shortage if problems of their own, meaning both India at 3.25 and New Zealand at 7.0 present far more attractive prospects. Prices with Betway.

 

 

 

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