The latest Cricket World Cup odds have England and India as favourites.
Here are the latest odds on the six shortest-priced teams to win it:
Cricket World Cup odds winner market with Royal Panda:
India – 3.75
Australia – 5.0
South Africa- 11.0
New Zealand- 11.0
You will have heard plenty of people tip up England over the past few months with India also fancied and Australia, New Zealand and South Africa rated as the inevitable ‘dark horses’ who can spring a surprise, their Cricket World Cup odds reflecting as much. So let’s separate the wheat from the chaff and try to find a winner based on the main factors needed to be a World Cup winner.
Cricket World Cup Odds: Who ticks the most boxes?
Only one, maximum two countries, can be hosts of course but how much of an advantage is it?
Australia won it last time as co-hosts and so did India, also as co-hosts, before that, in 2011.
You know the pitches and you have home support but you should be aware that it’s the ICC preparing the pitches, not the ECB, so no help there. Still, with their excellent home record over the past four years, it’s a huge boost to England.
Mitchell Starc shared top wicket-taker honours last time with Trent Boult– one of our tips for top tournament bowler– and Zaheer Khan shared the prize with Shahid Afridi in 2011. Glenn McGrath was out on his own when Australia won it in 2007. With Kuldeep Yadav (Ranked 6) and Jasprit Bumrah (7) featuring in the Top 10 wicket-takers over the past four years for India and Adil Rashid (1) and Chris Woakes (10) also making the list for England, that will help their causes. After all, no other country has two bowlers in the Top 10.
But the data isn’t enough to suggest anyone holds the edge.
Advantage: No advantage.
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Gun opening partnership with the bat
Given that’s so often where games are won or lost, it’s a huge factor. Being 100-0 is very different to being 70-2 whatever the state of the game and the longer you’ve been at the crease, the easier it is to rotate the strike and score big in the back end of an innings.
Looking at most runs scored over the past four years, Indian opening pair Rohit Sharma (a good tip for top batsman) and Shikhar Dhawan are ranked 2 and 9, the only side with both openers in the Top 10. Number 1 is Virat Kohli, by the way, evidence of their strength at the top of the order.
The numbers are a bit skewed for England as Jonny Bairstow (19) hasn’t been opening for that long, though his partner at the top of the order Jason Roy has and is Ranked 6. But even if you took runs scored over the past year, Bairstow still wouldn’t figure in the Top 10 so we have to come to the conclusion that their opening partnership isn’t quite as devastating as that of their rivals.
So the numbers suggest that India hold the edge.
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A subjective rather than objective factor here but an important one.
Australia get a black mark because we don’t know how everyone will react to Steve Smith and David Warner’s recall at the expense of the likes of Peter Handscomb (omitted from the squad entirely) and one of Shaun Marsh or Usman Khawaja missing out in the XI to accommodate Warner/Smith. Not to mention they weren’t the happiest camp even when those two were there before Sandpapergate.
England look a settled side and enjoy playing under Eoin Morgan while all the senior players seemed to support his decision to oust Alex Hales from the team after a second failed drugs test rather than grumble away at the fact that a ‘mate’ had been omitted.
Jofra Archer’s inclusion seemed like it could be an issue but now it’s more a case of everyone agreeing the best players have to be picked to give them the best chance, which would mean Archer gets to play.
But the side with the best team spirit of all seems to be New Zealand, who enjoy each other’s company, respect skipper Kane Williamson and seem content to win or lose together rather than point fingers.
Advantage: England and New Zealand
This is perhaps the best indication of all.
In the last four years England have played 87 matches. Five of those were no results so the figure that matters is 82. They’ve won 70% of those matches with one tie.
That puts them top for highest win percentage and they’ve also scored more runs per over than anyone else at 6.29.
Next best are India with a win percentage of 65.8%. New Zealand have a win percentage of 64% while South Africa’s is 64%.
The reason the win percentage number is so important is that it’s an indication of consistency. A spinning track in sunny Sri Lanka may be the polar opposite to Headingley in overcast conditions but winning wherever you are in whatever conditions is important because it shows you know how to get over the line.
A margin of almost 5% over anyone else is a pretty good indication England have been more consistent than the field with India second, but that;s nothing the Cricket World Cup odds aren’t telling us anyway.
Cricket World Cup Betting: Who to go with
There’s a reason why why England are such strong favourites when looking at the Cricket World Cup odds. They come out on top on more metrics than anyone else, with India a justified second. That’s because they’ve been the best ODI side in the world ever since that disastrous World Cup in 2015. Add in slightly less important factors like: match-winning spinner (Adil Rashid), strong fielding, a good captain in Eoin Morgan and a long batting line-up and you can see why they really are the team to beat.
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