England Cricket World Cup odds have the tournament hosts as favourites. Is that justified in light of their strengths and weaknesses?

Betfair Sportsbook are going 3.25 that they’ll win the World Cup for the first time. But before smashing into those England Cricket World Cup odds, let’s consider why they’re at that price and whether it’s the sort of price to get involved with.

Breathing down their neck are 3.75 chances India, followed by defending champions Australia (6.0), perennial dark horses New Zealand (9.0), repeat under-achievers South Africa (7.5) and the incredibly mercurial Pakistan, who are 10.0. All prices with Betfair Sportsbook.

 

 

Why are they favourites to win the 2019 Cricket World Cup?

 

The England Cricket World Cup odds tell us they’re the team to beat. Why is that?

 

Home advantage worth its weight in gold

 

The first reason is quite simply, that they’re at home. That’s a massive advantage in any game of international cricket and even more so at a World Cup where there are far more games. And it’s worth remembering that both India in 2011 and Australia in 2015 won the World Cup on their own patch.

 

They’re the top ranked side

 

The second reason is that they’re currently ranked Number 1 on the ODI rankings.  Separated by just two points in regards to Number 2 side India, but top nonetheless. It proves that they’ve been the best side over the past two years or so, meaning consistency hasn’t been an issue.

 

If you believe favourites England are finally going to win a World Cup and will manage to do so on home soil, you can back them at odds of 3.25 with Betfair Sportsbook

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Formidable batting line-up

 

In the late early noughties/early noughties, Indian sides containing Tendulkar, Sehwag, Ganguly, Dravid, Yuvraj and a bit later MS Dhoni had as much class as England’s current batting line-up. And the Australian team during the same period with the likes of Hayden, Ponting, Gilchrist, Martyn, Symonds, Bevan and a few others were arguably just that little bit better.

But this is probably the best ODI line-up England have ever had and possibly the only ODI side in history to bat down to 10. Assuming their line-up went something like this: Roy, Bairstow, Root, Morgan, Stokes, Buttler, Ali, Woakes, Plunkett, Rashid, Wood. If Jofra Archer or one of the Curran brothers played instead of Mark Wood, they’d bat all the way down to 11. Alex Hales, who has England’s second (171) and 9th (147) highest individual scores ever for England, can’t get into the side.

 

Jos Buttler wll be turning out for England at the Cricket World Cup.

Jos Buttler is a key part of England’s brilliant batting line-up.

 

So they’ve got their name on the trophy?

 

The England Cricket World Cup odds tells us that they’ll take some beating, but they’re far from invincible. Here’s why:

Big game nerves have let them down

England won the T20 World Cup back in 2010, keeping their cool to chase Australia’s modest 147. But it hasn’t always been like that and they’ve missed plenty of other opportunities to have another ICC trophy to their name, both before and after it.

There was the 2004 ICC Champions Trophy in England when they had West indies all but downed before a 71 run partnership between 10th wicket pairing Courtney Browne and Ian Bradshaw saw the Windies home.

There was the 2013 Champions Trophy. Not only was India’s 129 (off 20 overs) in the final very gettable from the off but needing just 20 off 17 with wickets still in hands, England had done all the hard work before bottling it at the crucial stage of the run chase.

Then there was the 2016 T20 World Cup. The Windies needed a huge 19 off six balls but with Ben Stokes bowling it, Carlos Brathwaite went six, six, six, six to win it with two balls to spare.  And before you say ‘well, that was T20 and this is 50 overs’, consider that eight of the players just listed as England’s possible World Cup XI in 2019, played in that final.

And just two years ago there was the 2017 Champions Trophy held in England once again. This time it was at the semi-final stage they fell apart. Having won all their Group Games, they folded like a pack of cards in the semis against Pakistan, posting just 211 in Cardiff and losing comfortably.

 

Where are the Champion fast bowlers?

If the World Cup started tomorrow Australia would field Hazlewood, Starc and Cummins in the pace department. Pakistan would go with Shinwari, Hasan Ali and one of Shaheen Shah Afridi or Mohammad Amir. India would play B.Kumar, Bumrah and Mohammed Shami. South Africa and New Zealand could boast a better pace attack than England as well.

Chris Woakes is ranked 13th in the ODI rankings and next best of their pace bowlers is Plunkett, who is 29th.  Sound like an attack capable of having a side four down for 30 runs after exploiting a green top or other bowler-friendly conditions? Probably not.

The smart money is on England at some stage either having to defend a par total or on limiting the damage when they lose the toss in batting-friendly conditions. If it’s a knockout match, they may just fall short and crash out if it comes to that.

 

Verdict on England Cricket World Cup Odds

You can see why they’re favourites but at the current price, they’re short enough. If your life depended on picking the 2019 Cricket World Cup winner then ok, plump for them or India. But the value is gone and all of India, Pakistan and Australia offer a better return for your investment at the current odds.

 

Betfair Sportsbook is going best price on Australia (6.0) and Pakistan (10.0) to win the World Cup. Take advantage of their welcome offer and place bets on one of those two, or both.   

 

New customer offer. Place 5 x £/€10 or more bets to receive £/€20 in free bets.
Repeat up to 5 times to receive maximum £/€100 bonus. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Exchange
bets excluded. T&Cs apply.

 

 

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