England v New Zealand betting has England as strong favourites for Sunday’s match. But what can we learn from past Cricket World Cup finals?

We’ve already looked at why New Zealand are the bet ahead of the Final. Are they likely to win? Not as much as England are. Are they a value bet? Very much so.

But whether New Zealand go on to justify the gamble, or not, here are a few things we should look out for.

 

England v New Zealand Betting: History says…

 

It’s unlikely to be a great game

 

Sounds depressing but it’s true. The only decent football World Cup final in recent memory was way back in 1986 with Argentina beating West Germany 3-2. Since then it’s been low-scoring affairs won by the pre-match favourites and even the one final since then that did have goals- last year’s France 4 Croatia 2- was more one-sided than it may seem.

It’s been a similar story with the Cricket World Cup final. New Zealand scored a pathetic 183 which was easily chased by Australia four years ago, Sri Lanka were never really in contention when chasing a DLS total against Australia back in 2007 and it was a similar story when India tried to chase Australia’s mammoth (especially for the time) 359 back in 2003.

Pakistan got a paltry 132 back in 1999 which Australia chased without breaking sweat and even Sri Lanka’s infamous win back in 1996 made headlines because they were underdogs rather than because it was a great game. They did after all chase Australia’s 241 with 22 balls to spare and for the loss of just three wickets.

 

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The odd one out was of course that 2011 win by India. 274 was a good score on the day by Sri Lanka, India lost dangerman Virender Sehwag in the first over, Sachin Tendulkar went for not that many either and it took two excellent knocks by Gautam Gambhir and MS Dhoni to get India home. Yes, with just short of two overs to spare… but for most of the match, the winner was very much uncertain.

But maybe there’s hope for a good, tight game after all. You will have noticed that all those somewhat dull games featured Australia. The one that didn’t, in 2011, was the good one.

It’s worth pointing out that all those bar the Sri Lanka win, went to the favourite. With that in mind, you’d want to be ignoring Betting Maestro’s advice and when it comes to England v New Zealand betting, going with England!

 

 

England v New Zealand Betting: Who’s going to be man of the match?

 

James Faulkner got it four years ago thanks to his 3 for 36 that included the key wickets of Ross Taylor and Grant Elliott.

MS Dhoni’s 91 off 79 balls wasn’t as high a score as Gambhir’s 97 (off 122) but came in much quicker time.  That’s why the skipper got MOM.

In 2007 Adam Gilchrist got it after scoring 149; in 2003 it was Ricky Ponting after his 140 and in 1999 it was Shane Warne after taking 4 for 33.

So not so easy to find trends as to who might be man-of-the-match this time round. England v New Zealand betting has the following possibilities: Joe Root (15/2), Jason Roy (13/2) and if you believe the Kiwis can do it…Kane Williamson (10/1). Prices with Betfair Sportsbook.

 

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Root and Williamson still in contention for top runscorer

 

A century from Joe Root would see him overtake Rohit Sharma as top runscorer for the tournament. 99 would see him tie.

A century from Kane Williamson would see him tie with Sharma, while 101 would see him overtake the India opener.

It’s 6.5 with Betway that Root can pull it off and 7.5 that Williamson can do it.

 

 

 

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