Good luck in cricket has smiled on England’s Joe Root and New Zealand but not Sri Lanka and India’s Shikhar Dhawan…
Examples of luck in cricket
We all know there’s lot of luck in cricket. It’s always been that way and we wouldn’t have it any other way.
It’s one of cricket’s old sayings that the best thing you can be as a captain is lucky. A reference of course to the fact that winning the toss and being able to decide what to do is a huge advantage before a ball has been bowled in anger.
Other examples of luck in cricket, include: whether a catch ‘sticks’ or drops out, whether an Umpire gives you out or the benefit of the doubt or whether DRS tells you a ball is pitched in line or pitched an inch outside the leg stump.
All well and good but for us punters playing such markets as the tournament winner market, the tournament top bowler or tournament top batsman, luck in cricket plays a huge part and is one of those things we just can’t control.
Here are some examples of good luck in cricket from the first half of the Group Stages of the World Cup.
The lucky ones
Winner Market: New Zealand
As it happens, the Black Caps would probably have qualified for the semis even if they hadn’t been lucky. Afghanistan and Sri Lanka look way off the pace, West Indies and Pakistan are far too inconsistent while Bangladesh lack a bit with the ball and South Africa have been hugely disappointing in all areas. New Zealand are nothing if not consistent so would probably have joined Australia, England and India in the last four irrespective of fortune.
But by playing (and winning) full games against the three weakest sides- Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and Afghanistan– and having their toughest match rained off against India, they’ve certainly had the run of the green. They’re a best price of 9.0 with Unibet to go on and win the World Cup.
You can open an account with Unibet and back New Zealand to win the World Cup at 9.0 with Unibet, as part of your welcome bonus.
Top Batsman: Joe Root/Aaron Finch/David Warner
A perfect example of luck in cricket.
What all three of them have in common is that they come from two of the three sides not to have had a match rained off. Afghanistan are the other side. That means five innings to get as many runs as possible. They’ve made the most of their chances, explaining why they’re currently ranked second, third amd fifth for most runs. Shakib-Al Hasan is top by the way.
So kudos to Rohit Sharma. Despite having played just three innings (India’s game against New Zealand was washed out) so far when the others have played five, he sits in third. His average is an obscene 159.
Regular Betting Maestro readers will recall he was one of our two picks for tournament top batsman at a big price of 15.0. that price is now gone but the 4.5 about Sharma is still a good one. Australia and England have played five matches so he has one extra one coming up and with games against weaker opposition to look forward to- Afghanistan and Sri Lanka in particular – he’s still the value selection with Betfair Sportsbook.
Sign up to Betfair and benefit from a double welcome offer: one on the Exchange and one on Betfair Sportsbook. New customer offer at Betfair Sportsbook. Place 5 x £/€10 or more bets to receive £/€20 in free bets.Repeat up to 5 times to receive maximum £/€100 bonus. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Exchange
bets excluded. T&Cs apply.
Joe Root by the way, is the luckiest. His team have batted first three times, meaning he could keep on batting without the match coming to its natural conclusion and him ending not out. He also had the bonus of opening the batting against the Windies when Jason Roy got injured.
Root is 4.0 to top-score for England against Sri Lanka on Friday with Royal Panda and that looks a good price for someone so consistent who battedd so well against Afghanistan.
New customers from the UK at Royal Panda can get a £20 free bet when opening an account.
Indian customers can open an account with Royal Panda and receive 2000 INR as a free bet when they sign up. You can bet on all Cricket World cup matches at Royal Panda.
The unlucky ones
They shot themselves in the foot by leaving out the likes of Niroshan Dickwella, Dinesh Chandimal and Dananjaya and for the most part they’ve been poor. But on another day they could have beaten Australia after such a promising start in the chase.
And before that, Pakistan and Bangladesh. Except they never got the chance. Those two matches were rained off, making them the only side so far to have suffered such a fate. Had those two games gone ahead and they’d won them both- not impossible- they would have been in contention for a semi-final place, rather than currently being a 12.0 chance on the Betfair Exchange.
Jason Roy/S. Dhawan
Roy was flying on 215 runs from three knocks and Dhawan on 125 from two. Then they got injured. Roy mid-match against the Windies, Dhawan mid-innings against Australia. Not that it stopped him from going to score 117.
Roy didn’t bat in that game he fielded in, sat one game out and should miss at least another two.
Dhawan ‘missed’ the match against New Zealand (it was rained off anyway so wouldn’t have made a difference) but the smart money was on him getting runs against Pakistan in a high-scoring game. He didn’t play in that one and won’t be playing in any others, either. He’s now been ruled out of the World Cup.
As the top scorer in the 2017 Champions Trophy, he may have missed out on a great chance. All down to bad luck.