It’s Sydney Thunder v Sydney Sixers on Monday morning in the Big Bash and the best bet lies in the Thunder Top Batsman market.
Sydney Thunder: Impressive opening win
That their first match was a rain-reduced affair is somewhat irrelevant. Having posted an excellent 181/5 when batting the full 20 overs, they would have expected to have defended that. If anything, a target of 90 off 8 overs actually made things a bit more manageable for the Stars. After all, it’s easier to keep going at it hard for 9 overs than 20.
Last time out we talked about the Top 3 of Watson, Buttler and Root being an excellent top order. As it happens, Root batted at four with Callum Ferguson slotting in at three. But despite all those big names, the Thunder had the unknown Jason Sangha to thank for their big total. His 63 not out came off just 36 deliveries.
But man of the match was Daniel Sams. His 34 with the bat came off just 21 deliveries and his work with the ball was even better; his two overs yielded three wickets and went for just five runs. It would have been virtually impossible for the Stars to have won in light of that spell with the ball from Sams.
Sydney Sixers: O’Keefe was excellent last time out
The Sixers were highly impressive in beating the Scorchers on Saturday morning. A total of 164 was more than competitive and they can thank the middle-order pairing of Daniel Hughes (62) and Jordan Silk (67 not out) for that. The Betting Maestro was proud of having picked the Scorchers’ Jason Behrendoff at 4.5 for top bowler honours in that one.
But if those two knocks put them in the driving seat, then it was the bowling of Steve O’Keefe that had them fully buckled up and insured.
It’s not often that you see a spinner accounting for the top three in someone’s batting line-up but that’s exactly what happened. Sam Whiteman, Michael Klinger and David Willey were all out to O’Keefe for less than five and he found three different ways to get them out: the first stumped, the second LBW and the third caught. His performance was so good that it put that of Sean Abbot’s in the shade. On another day 3-29 off 4 could have been considered a match-winning effort from experienced campaigner Abbott.
Sydney Thunder v Sydney Sixers: Odds are pretty tight
You can just about understand why the Thunder are favourites here. Their batting line-up looks stronger and they’re at home. But beating the Scorchers is more impressive than beating the Stars and the Sixers have arguably the stronger bowling line-up. There’s an argument to say that it’s with the ball that more T20 matches and tournaments are won and if we were forced to go with one of the two to win the match, the Sixers would get the nod as 2.1 outsiders with Royal Panda. But there are better bets out there.
Betting Maestro recommends Royal Panda as one of the best places to bet on the Big Bash.
Indian customers can open an account with Royal Panda in order to bet on all Big Bash matches and can receive 2000 INR as a free bet when they sign up. It’s a £20 free bet for UK customers.
Sydney Thunder v Sydney Sixers: Ferguson the value for the Thunder
It’s worth remembering that placing bets is always about getting betting value. In other words, the question isn’t so much: who’s going to win? Or who’s going to be top batsman for Team A? Rather, the question is: which runner is available at bigger odds than it should be to win a particular betting heat? The idea being that because no-one can be having winners all the time, you at least maximise on payouts when you do win. Betting lesson over and let’s se why that’s relevant here.
Well, Buttler and Watson, the two Thunder openers are around the 3.5 mark to be top batsman for the Thunder. It’s very possible that one of those two will top score on the day. After all, they’re excellent players with good records in this Sydney Thunder v Sydney Sixers fixture against their cross-city rivals and open the batting, where the heavy run-scoring is done. But it’s worth remembering that Callum Ferguson is a very capable player in his own right. And that last time out he batted at three. The thinking there being that the Thunder management want to split Watson/Butler and Root in the batting order rather than loading up their top order.
It would only take the loss of one of the two openers to bring Ferguson to the crease and given they’re aggressive players, it’s not that unlikely they’ll get out playing a big shot. The crucial bit here is that Ferguson is 5.5, two whole points bigger than he opening pair. And that…is betting value.
Best Sydney Thunder v Sydney Sixers Bet:
Back Callum Ferguson to be Thunder Top Batsman @ 5.5 with Unibet.
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